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Written by Cornermanden. The author’s opinions and predictions are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Unibet. Odds and details may change between the time of writing and when placing a bet – always check before betting.

Here are my thoughts and a few betting picks ahead of Premier League Round 4.

Fascinating Spurs
Burnley v Tottenham Hotspur

I watched Spurs’ game at Bournemouth on Saturday, and was pretty impressed by how they conducted themselves on the ball. They looked sharp, confident and well drilled, which is an impressive feat that has to be accredited to Ange Postecoglou and the implementation of his style. Those things take time, so to have them perform like that in such a short space of time, is really good. James Maddison had almost half of his touches in his own half, which suggests that he had a deeper role than we’ve previously seen him play in. 

Burnley are off to a horrendous start, with two home defeats from two. Not encouraging at all, but Vincent Kompany has said that he’s confident that his team will win games and pick up points throughout the season. They offer something going forward, but are left way too exposed when the ball gets turned over and opponents have space to attack. 

However, I think their home advantage should count for something, and that Spurs will slip up with their risky and offensive style of play – especially while playing out from the back. I think Burnley will get a result here, so Burnley +0.5 is my pick at 2.00.

Living In A Darwin Nùñez World
Liverpool v Aston Villa

Well, what a comeback that was from Liverpool at St. James’ Park. I only followed the game on my phone (I had a bet on over 27.5 shots) and thought that Newcastle would put all the pressure in the world on Liverpool after Nùñez scored his first goal. Instead, it looked like the Magpies players were paralysed and completely shell shocked. Liverpool smelled blood and pounced after a great ball recovery from Jota, a fantastic pass from Salah, and pure power from Liverpool’s hungry Uruguayan striker to put The Reds in front. Jürgen Klopp now has a decision to make whether to start him or not; I think he’ll be very foolish not to. 

Villa have had a tremendously impressive start to their campaign, and I think they’ll travel to Anfield with a lot of belief and optimism that they can get a decent result. They did concede quite a lot of chances against Burnley, but Unai Emery’s boys have proved that they are more than capable of outscoring any team that they come up against.  

I’m backing Liverpool here, even though Van Dijk is unavailable due to his red card against Newcastle. Villa played on Thursday night, while Liverpool had the luxury of a week’s rest. 

The Big One
Arsenal v Manchester United

Of course I’m covering this match. After all, it’s the tastiest game of them all for the upcoming weekend. 

Arsenal have started like they left off at the end of last season, I think. They look in control, comfortable and very easy on the eye, but at the same time I feel like a bad moment is close to occurring at any time, really. I don’t have the numbers for this, but the amount of times they’ve conceded a silly goal in the opening minute or two at home in the last year, is way too high for any respectable team challenging at the top-end of the table.

The Gunners were in control against Fulham, but still looked vulnerable when they turned the ball over. I’m very, very curious to see how they will handle this against a team who thrive in an environment where they can hit teams on the counter with pace and power. Rashford is back to playing on the left wing, Antony looked sharp from the right, and Man United’s record when Bruno, Eriksen and Casemiro all play is certainly magnificent. 

The goal line of 3.5 is a bit too high for my liking, so my immediate thought was to look for value in the corner market, which I didn’t really find. However, betting on the game to have over 9.5 shots on target (at 1.82) sounds like a fine pick. I can see this game opening up and turning out to be a stretched affair, which means that players will have more space and time to shoot accurately. 

Conclusion

Here are my picks for Premier League Round 4:

  • Arsenal v Manchester United. Over 9.5 shots on target @ 1.82.
  • Burnley v Spurs. Burnley +0.5 (asian handicap) @ 2.00.
  • Liverpool v Aston Villa. Liverpool -1 (asian handicap) @ 2.00.

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